Educational simulationSynthetic data

Digital twin scenario explorer

A digital twin is a model that mirrors the structure of a real system so you can stress it safely. This one is a deliberately small financial network: five institutions, the exposures between them, and the shocks that travel along those links.

Scenario inputs

Scenario preset
5%
20%
5%

System state

Educational simulation

Bank Resilient
Investment fund Resilient
Digital-asset exchange Resilient
Stablecoin issuer Resilient
Households and firms Resilient
  • Resilient
  • Strained
  • Failing

Institutions under strain or failing 0 / 5

Capital and liquidity by institution under the current scenarioLiquidity coverage compares liquid assets with funding withdrawn today only. An institution can cover its outflows and still fail because losses have used up its capital.
InstitutionCapital buffer remainingLiquidity coverageStatus
Bank–––
Investment fund–––
Digital-asset exchange–––
Stablecoin issuer–––
Households and firms–––

Assumptions · Limitations

Assumptions

  • Balance sheets, exposures and thresholds are invented round numbers chosen to make mechanisms visible.
  • Losses pass along exposures in a single round: if an institution’s capital falls below zero, its creditors lose 40% of what it owes them.
  • Liquidity coverage is liquid assets divided by the funding withdrawn. Below 100%, the gap is met by selling risky assets at a 20% discount, and that discount is booked as a loss.
  • Status thresholds: resilient above 8% capital and 100% liquidity coverage; failing at or below 0% capital; strained in between.

Limitations

  • Real systems have many more participants, feedback loops over time, central-bank backstops and behaviour this model leaves out.
  • The output shows how stress can travel. It is not a forecast and says nothing about any real institution.
Digital concept by AI Holding Solutions